A leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 200 full-time economists and analysts, Oxford Economics is a trusted advisor to corporate and government decision-makers. We help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry and urban trends around the world.
A deep portfolio of research tools to assess the impact of macro events across more than 200 countries, including regularly-updated economic briefings, forecasts, and scenarios. Find out more.
A complete industry forecasting and analysis service with continuous updates for 74 countries and 26 commodities. Find out more.
The most complete set of forecasts available for cities and sub-regions around the world. Find out more.
Prepared by the International Tax and Investment Center and Oxford Economics
Asia Illicit Tobacco Indicator 2015
One in seven cigarettes consumed in 2015 across 17 Asian markets was illicit, resulting in an estimated USD 4.5 billion in lost government revenues
The Asia Illicit Tobacco Indicator series provides an in-depth analysis on evolving trends in illicit consumption and its impact on government revenues across the region, serving as a unique tool for policymakers and interested stakeholders. Now it its fourth year of production, the Asia Illicit Tobacco Indicator 2015 report has once again extended the analysis to cover 17 markets in Asia-Pacific region.
In 2014, 9.2% of all cigarettes consumed in Asia-16 were illicit, equivalent to an estimated 77.2 billion cigarettes.
Asia-16 represents the latest release of the Asia Illicit Tobacco Indicator series, further expanding the analysis on illicit trade in cigarettes across the region by including new markets Macao and South Korea. Now in its third year, the Asia Illicit Tobacco Indicator series provides an in-depth analysis on evolving trends in illicit consumption and its impact on government revenues across Asia, serving as a unique tool for policymakers and interested stakeholders.
In 2013, over 760 billion cigarettes were consumed in Asia-14, almost 11% of this is estimated to have been illicit
This study is an update and expansion of our previous report ‘Asia-11 Illicit Tobacco Indicator 2012’ with coverage extended to include Cambodia, Laos, and Myanmar, resulting in full coverage of the 10 ASEAN member countries plus Australia, Hong Kong, Pakistan, and Taiwan. This report provides an overview of the nature of the illicit trade of cigarettes across 14 markets and and the impact this has on tobacco tax revenue, as well as tracking developments in the illicit trade of cigarettes between 2012 and 2013 in the 11 markets included in the previous study.
Excise rates rise; increased levels of illicit consumption offset subsequent drop in sales
This report, produced by the International Tax and Investment Center and Oxford Economics, explores Illicit Consumption of cigarettes, and the associated government revenue losses, in the Philippines in 2013.
In 2012, 9% of cigarettes consumed in the Asia-11 markets were illicit
This report, produced by the International Tax and Investment Center and Oxford Economics, provides an overview of the nature of the illicit trade of cigarettes across 11 Asian markets (including Australia). It establishes credible estimates of consumption of illicit cigarettes and the impact this has on tobacco tax revenue.