masthead image 1 masthead image 2 Forecasting and Analysis

UK Economy

UK Weekly Economic Briefings Archive

3 September 2010Is the UK recovery losing momentum?
27 August 2010Oxford Economics’ study of the Eurozone fiscal crisis
20 August 2010How healthy is the European banking sector?
13 August 2010Inflation Report contains few surprises
6 August 2010Will aggressive fiscal retrenchment choke off the UK recovery?
30 July 2010Can the recovery in house prices be sustained?
23 July 2010Big upside surprise for Q2 GDP growth but can we trust the data?
16 July 2010Blue Book revisions do little to alter the outlook
9 July 2010Implications of the Eurozone debt crisis for the world economy
2 July 2010Oil price outlook to 2030
25 June 2010An ambitious bid to repair the public finances
18 June 2010Landmark Budget will see most severe austerity package for a generation
11 June 2010Could greater innovation boost UK growth?
4 June 2010Should we be worried about inflation?
28 May 2010Manufacturing leads the recovery
21 May 2010The Economic Outlook for London
14 May 2010With the coalition in place all eyes turn to the emergency Budget
7 May 2010Markets buffeted by Greek crisis and inconclusive election result
30 April 2010The implications of a hung parliament
23 April 2010The UK long-term growth outlook
16 April 2010Is the mini-house price boom running out of steam?
9 April 2010Recovery remained on track in Q1 despite the weather
1 April 2010London to remain one of Europe’s star performers
26 March 2010A Budget of two halves
19 March 2010Regional divides set to widen in the recovery
12 March 2010Recovery back on track after snow disruption
5 March 2010Manufacturing leads the way
26 February 2010Is the economic recovery in Europe and the US sustainable?
19 February 2010The outlook for commercial property
12 February 2010Mixed messages from the Inflation Report
5 February 2010Banking regulation – are we on the right track?
29 January 2010To what extent has policy supported the economy through the recession?
22 January 2010How should the government fill the fiscal black hole?
15 January 2010The UK labour market conundrum
8 January 2010UK GDP per capita lower than at time of last General Election
18 December 2009Why has unemployment not risen further?
11 December 2009PBR disappoints on all fronts
4 December 2009PBR preview part 2: Significant medium-term fiscal tightening required
27 November 2009PBR preview part 1: Significant extra temporary fiscal stimulus needed
20 November 2009Global Construction Report
13 November 2009A return to private affluence and public squalor?
6 November 2009QE extended again but are we nearing the end?
30 October 2009Global capital flows on the rebound?
23 October 2009The Economic Outlook for London
16 October 2009Recession affects all sectors, all regions
9 October 2009Lengthy period of austerity in prospect
2 October 2009Bank lending remains in critical condition
25 September 2009Medium-term outlook for UK house prices
18 September 2009How will the recovery vary across sectors?
11 September 2009UK in early stages of recovery – growth expected in Q3
4 September 2009How is the recession affecting migration?
28 August 2009Why is UK GDP lagging behind Germany and France?
21 August 2009World financial wealth rebounding – a boost to recovery prospects?
14 August 2009Bank eyes slow recovery but upgrades forecast
7 August 2009Is the housing market on the road to recovery?
31 July 2009MPC preview – to QE or not to QE
24 July 2009Will the UK recovery outpace other major economies?
17 July 2009Will the recession bring about a rebalancing of the UK economy?
10 July 2009UK forecast lowered after downward revisions to Q1
3 July 2009Large downward revision to Q1 GDP but evidence of a sharper Q2 rebound
26 June 2009Why are home foreclosures so much higher in the US than the UK?
19 June 2009Could swine flu tip the world into deflation?
12 June 2009Green shoots continue to appear
5 June 2009QE – is it still the solution?
29 May 2009S&P warning reignites UK fiscal policy debate
22 May 2009Retail sales data overhauled but still look too strong
15 May 2009Inflation Report highlights uncertainties
8 May 2009The recession hits London hard
1 May 2009Will quantitative easing pull the UK out of recession?
24 April 2009Darling fails to provide credible plan for the public finances
17 April 2009The Chancellor will have to eat more humble pie…
9 April 2009Surveys show output falls easing but Q1 GDP fall will still be sharp
3 April 2009Credit conditions tighten further but outlook improves
27 March 2009How far away is a global recovery?
20 March 2009No region will escape the recession
13 March 2009Weak data flow points to a poor Q1 outturn
6 March 2009The Bank steps into uncharted territory
27 February 2009This recession will impact on all sectors
20 February 2009Darling will need deep pockets
13 February 2009UK forecast revised down...
6 February 2009Is the MPC pushing on a string?
30 January 2009Will the recession damage UK long-term growth prospects?
23 January 2009Government introduces further measures to restart lending
16 January 2009Pace of job cuts accelerates as activity falls sharply
9 January 2009Financial meltdown averted – but how deep and how widespread will the recession be?
19 December 2008Is the UK heading for deflation?
12 December 2008Near term prospects have deteriorated sharply
5 December 2008Should the Bank implement quantitative easing?
28 November 2008£20bn stimulus but will Darling be able to pay for it?
21 November 2008The gloom surrounding the UK economy has deepened
14 November 2008Inflation Report points to further rate cuts
7 November 2008The Bank of England gets ahead of the game…
31 October 2008The collapse of sterling – what are the implications?
24 October 2008Q&A: The financial crisis
17 October 2008Will the UK see a ‘real’ recession?
10 October 2008Government unveils scheme to bail out UK banks
3 October 2008Implications of the Blue Book revisions
26 September 2008More market turmoil...
19 September 2008Global financial markets in turmoil again
12 September 2008Will the takeover of Freddie and Fannie boost US growth or undermine its creditworthiness?
5 September 2008Odds on a UK recession shorten
29 August 2008Will the downturn dampen immigration?
22 August 2008Are credit conditions still deteriorating?
15 August 2008Bank of England opens the door for lower rates
8 August 2008UK on the brink of recession?
1 August 2008Is the credit crunch worsening in Europe?
25 July 2008Regional winners and losers in UK public finances
18 July 2008A new round of financial distress
11 July 2008Risk of recession rising…
4 July 2008European growth divisions deepen further
27 June 2008Credit Crunch Reaches Regions
20 June 2008Why are LIBOR rates still so high?
13 June 2008The economy deteriorates further...
6 June 2008Persistently high oil prices threaten growth in the UK...
30 May 2008Global industrial sector growth is slowing...
23 May 2008Potential growth running at 3%...
16 May 2008Bank of England dashes hopes of rate cuts...
9 May 2008Interest rates left at 5% as growth holds up in Q1
2 May 2008Are the UK twin deficits a threat to stability?
25 April 2008Could monetary policy become ineffective?
18 April 2008Is this the first global property crisis?
11 April 2008Credit crunch bites harder...
4 April 2008Credit conditions tighten further...
28 March 2008Will sterling’s fall save UK Manufacturing?
20 March 2008Bear Stearns sends shockwaves…
14 March 2008The Chancellor’s cupboard proves bare
7 March 2008Muted impact of credit crunch on the regions?
29 February 2008UK Industrial Outlook
22 February 2008Darling gets some good news at last
15 February 2008King sounds the alarm bells
8 February 2008Interest rates cut to 5.25% but still no sign of recession...
1 February 2008The end of the securitisation boom...
25 January 2008Stock market slump shifts the Fed - will the BoE follow?
18 January 2008Growth to slow to 1.9% in 2008
11 January 2008Credit crunch – what might the regional implications be?
4 January 2008UK GDP per capita to overtake US in 2008 for first time since the 19th century
21 December 2007Downside inflation risks increase...
14 December 2007Central banks coordinate action to alleviate pressures on short-term markets
7 December 2007MPC cuts rates by 25bps
30 November 2007Time for the MPC to act
23 November 2007Is the dollar set to fall further?
16 November 2007Might the MPC act before Christmas?
9 November 2007No relief from high oil prices...
2 November 2007Slower property market impacts spending on household goods
26 October 2007The Economic Outlook for London...
19 October 20072008 growth at 2.3 per cent despite credit crunch
12 October 2007Will the credit crunch undermine the PBR?
5 October 2007Credit conditions start to tighten...
28 September 2007Sterling strong against the dollar but weaker against the euro
21 September 2007The Fed cuts aggressively to forestall growth risks while Bank of England under fire.
14 September 2007Bank of England steps in...
7 September 2007Have UK interest rates peaked?
31 August 2007The long-term prospects for the UK housing market remain robust.
24 August 2007Central banks step in to fight liquidity crunch
17 August 2007From financial market volatility to credit crunch?
10 August 2007Population revisions imminent
3 August 2007M4 growth rapid
27 July 2007Growth accelerates in Q2.
20 July 2007Inflation disappoints but still heading for 2%
13 July 2007Where is the risk in global financial markets?
6 July 2007Interest rates up again
29 June 2007Are low risk spreads sustainable?
22 June 2007Are higher interest rates biting?
15 June 2007How high will interest rates go?
8 June 2007Manufacturing struggles while services continue to set the pace.
1 June 2007A repeat of the 2004-05 housing cycle?
25 May 2007Financial and business services – the driving force behind the UK’s economic success
18 May 2007Bank talks tough as inflation falls
11 May 2007Why is manufacturing output so much weaker than reported by business surveys?
4 May 2007Why is consumer demand holding up so well in the face of higher interest rates?
27 April 2007Investment drives economic growth in 2007
20 April 2007Consumer inflation shock leads to exchange of letters
13 April 2007The outlook for M&A activity
5 April 2007UK remains on track to top G7 growth in 2007
30 March 2007A decade of fiscal policy under New Labour
23 March 2007A Budget of grand gestures and little impact
16 March 2007UK set for strong growth again this year, but higher interest rates to slow demand in 2008
9 March 2007Regional divides to widen
2 March 2007Services expected to dominate growth in 2007
23 February 2007What is happening to UK household incomes?
16 February 2007Don't read too much into one month's figures
9 February 2007Regional contributions to UK public finances
2 February 2007Oxford Economics forecasts growth of 2.7%
26 January 2007Booming UK services drive growth in Q4
19 January 2007Inflation sparks fears of further rate hikes
12 January 2007Surprise rise takes interest rates to 5.25%
5 January 2007UK best performing of major developed economies in 2007
21 December 2006Stress testing UK MFIs’ loan books
15 December 2006Inflation moves closer to 3%
8 December 2006Stronger growth and higher taxes – why aren’t the public finances in better shape?
1 December 2006Is monetary policy losing its bite?
24 November 2006Prospects for the public finances in the PBR
17 November 2006Is money making a comeback?
10 November 2006Higher interest rates may already be slowing demand
3 November 2006Rising interest rates to cut growth in 2007
27 October 2006Is buy-to-let demand supporting the housing market?
20 October 2006The infaltion wedge
13 October 2006Estimating the UK's potential
6 October 2006London's strength emerges
29 September 2006Prospects for business investment
22 September 2006UK industry – growth exceeding expectations
15 September 2006Inflation rises, with more to come, but 3% limit unlikely to be breached
8 September 2006Recent recovery in consumer spending expected to be sustained
1 September 2006Are pension fund deficits now posing less risk to firms?
25 August 2006Latest data suggest the labour force is growing strongly
18 August 2006Inflation: will the Governor need to write a letter?
11 August 2006The impact of Home Information Packs
4 August 2006Does stronger growth imply rate rises… it seems the answer is yes!
28 July 2006What do recent movements in the saving ratio mean for consumption?
21 July 2006OEF forecasts for UK house prices
14 July 2006Is manufacturing in terminal decline?
7 July 2006Blue Book repaints economic picture
3 July 2006Will the housing market revival continue?
23 June 2006Prospects for UK exports
16 June 2006Inflation rising in May
9 June 2006UK growth is becoming more balanced
2 June 2006Can we expect a strong pick up in consumer spending?
26 May 2006Long-term forecast for the UK economy
19 May 2006The impact of oil price rises on the UK supply chain
12 May 2006The next interest rate move will be...?
5 May 2006The Economic Outlook for London
28 April 2006When will growth rise above trend?
21 April 2006Another London housing boom?
14 April 2006What are the monetary indicators telling us about consumer spending?
7 April 2006Does rising mortgage equity withdrawal signal higher spending?
31 March 2006Why is corporate lending increasing so rapidly?
24 March 2006Budget a macroeconomic non-event
17 March 2006What lies in store for the Budget?
10 March 2006Is growth being under-estimated?
3 March 2006Which sectors are hit most by higher oil prices?
24 February 2006Avian Flu - first Asia, now Europe....
17 February 2006What happened to the expected inflation blip?
10 February 2006Are pensions worries hitting investment?
3 February 2006Rising house prices counterbalance weak GDP and higher unemployment
27 January 2006A prolonged period of sub-trend growth
20 January 2006Inflation back on target
13 January 2006Interest rates on hold for now
6 January 2006Eurozone growth to outpace UK in 2006
16 December 2005Good inflation figures improve odds of another interest rate cut
9 December 2005Chancellor halves his growth forecast
2 December 2005Has UK trend growth been over 3% in recent years?
25 November 2005MPC unanimous in keeping rates on hold
18 November 2005A good week for inflation
11 November 2005Two-speed economy re-emerging?
4 November 2005London's place in the UK economy, 2005-06
21 October 2005No need to worry about increase in inflation
14 October 2005Oil and Katrina dent the trade figures
7 October 2005GDP forecasts cut again
30 September 2005GDP growth only 1.5% in year to Q2
23 September 2005The economic contribution of the UK film industry
16 September 2005CPI inflation rises above RPIX
9 September 2005Further rate cuts delayed
2 September 2005Oil and the hurricane
26 August 2005Migration and the Housing Market
19 August 2005Another increase in inflation
12 August 2005Bank dampens hope of further rate cuts
5 August 2005How much will the 2012 Olympics boost London and the UK economy?
29 July 2005What if consumer demand slumps?
22 July 2005Chancellor fiddles while Rome burns?
15 July 2005Inflation reaches 2% target
8 July 2005The impact of the London terrorist atrocities
1 July 2005Blue Book repaints economic picture
24 June 2005Why is UK trade performance so poor?
17 June 2005Inflation steady
10 June 2005Markets now looking for a rate cut
3 June 2005Is UK manufacturing heading for recession?
27 May 2005Economic growth in Central London set to outpace UK
20 May 2005CPI Inflation remains just below target
13 May 2005What does the UK's changing industry structure say about the current account?
6 May 2005Labour's reduced majority may constrain policy
29 April 2005Economic risks for the new government
22 April 2005Inflation up, with more to come next month
15 April 2005How hard would post-election tax increases hit growth?
8 April 2005A future without Rover?
1 April 2005Where next for the consumer?
24 March 2005CPI inflation unchanged again
18 March 2005A Budget for the election
11 March 2005Focus on macroeconomic policy
4 March 2005Both manufacturing and services growth slower in 2005
25 February 2005Home truths about regional development in the UK
18 February 2005RPIX inflation falls sharply, but no change in CPI inflation
11 February 2005Outlook - steady as she goes
4 February 2005Consumers start 2005 in a confident mood
28 January 2005UK household debt - a threat to growth or stability?
21 January 2005Unexpected rise in inflation
14 January 2005No change in interest rates as retailers report mixed Christmas
7 January 2005What are the key risks to the UK economy in 2005?
17 December 2004Consumer inflation rise surprises some analysts
10 December 2004Is the Chancellor's optimism on growth justified?
3 December 2004Gordon Brown hopes for the best
26 November 2004A UK productivity revival?
19 November 2004Small rise in inflation
12 November 2004UK oil trade deficit
5 November 2004Interest rates on hold
29 October 2004The Economic Outlook for London
22 October 2004Is investment set to boom?
15 October 2004How big a threat does the oil price pose to UK growth?
8 October 2004China and the UK Economy
1 October 2004Distributive trades - are the boom times over?
24 September 2004Services & construction drive strong UK growth
17 September 2004Latest inflation projections
9 September 2004UK manufacturing - summertime blues
3 September 2004House price inflation coming down to earth
27 August 2004Widening margins or increasing costs?
20 August 2004What chance of another oil-induced recession?
13 August 2004No surprises on inflation
6 August 2004Interest rates increased again
30 July 2004Is an interest rate rise inevitable next week?
23 July 2004Is the labour market overheating?
16 July 2004Inflation up to 1.6%
9 July 2004The UK defence export industry
2 July 2004How damaging would a housing market crash be for UK growth?
25 June 2004Why are households shrugging off higher interest rates?
18 June 2004Inflation picks up as fuel prices surge
11 June 2004New Forecast Data and Charting Service from OEF
4 June 2004How strong is the recovery in manufacturing?
28 May 2004London's economic linkages with the rest of the UK
21 May 2004No inflation problems yet
14 May 2004Are oil price fears overblown?
7 May 2004The UK at the head of Europe
30 April 2004Offshoring - how big an issue?
23 April 2004Unexpected fall in inflation
16 April 2004Sterling and the trade balance
8 April 2004How tight is the labour market?
2 April 2004How overvalued are house prices?
26 March 2004Is consumer spending set to surge?
19 March 2004 Budget not really about taxes
12 March 2004EU enlargement looming
5 March 2004Recovery firing on all cylinders
27 February 2004Sectoral Outlook
20 February 2004Inflation falls below old target
13 February 2004The link between R&D investment and productivity growth
6 February 2004First rate rise of the year
30 January 2004Interest rates to rise as manufacturers predict a boom
30 January 2004Interest rates to rise as manufacturers predict a boom
23 January 2004All quiet on the inflation front
16 January 2004The UK's top growth towns
9 January 2004The impact on UK sectors of the slide in the dollar
19 December 2003Consumer price index starts well for the Chancellor
12 December 2003Pre-Budget Report: tough choices, or easy way out?
5 December 2003Goalposts to move in PBR
28 November 2003Why is the UK trade position with the EU so weak?
21 November 2003Good news for interest rates?
14 November 2003What could cause a return to a higher-inflation regime?
7 November 2003Interest rates on the rise
31 October 2003The Regional Economic Outlook
24 October 2003Latest forecast implies no hurry to raise interest rates
17 October 2003Smaller than expected fall in inflation
10 October 2003What has happened to trend growth?
3 October 2003The revisions to the UK National Accounts
26 September 2003Will oil prices fall sharply in 2004?
19 September 2003Inflation on track
12 September 2003What is happening to input prices?
5 September 2003Is union militancy increasing?
29 August 2003What does the Taylor rule tell us about the current stance of monetary policy?
22 August 2003A hiccup in inflation targetting?
15 August 2003Surprise rise in inflation
8 August 2003Interest rates on hold despite weakest economy in a decade
1 August 2003Economic effects of transport delays on the City
25 July 2003What is happening to household debt?
18 July 2003Harmonised inflation measure falls to just 1.1%
4 July 2003Signs of service sector recovery?
27 June 2003Current account in surprise surplus
20 June 2003Harmonised inflation measure drops to just 1.2%
13 June 2003No surprises on EMU
6 June 2003A Baghdad bounce?
30 May 2003Does the latest news reduce the prospect of an interest rate cut?
23 May 2003No rise in inflation boosts chances of interest rate cut
16 May 2003A new phase of economic development?
9 May 2003A lower pound means monetary policy substantially looser
2 May 2003Housing market slows
25 April 2003Interest rates set to fall again
17 April 2003Inflation still at 3%
11 April 2003No change in macroeconomic policy
4 April 2003What will the Budget bring?
28 March 2003The regional economic outlook
21 March 2003Inflation reaches 3%
14 March 2003The pattern of inward investment into the UK
7 March 2003The housing market and convergence with the Eurozone
28 February 2003Prospects for house prices in the UK and central London
21 February 2003Inflation steady as expected
14 February 2003Will growth slow or accelerate in 2004
7 February 2003Is the UK equity market cheap relative to the US?
31 January 2003Are house prices heading for a crash?
31 January 2003Are house prices heading for a crash?
24 January 2003Momentum behind consumer demand & housing market to generate GDP growth of 2.4% in 2003
17 January 2003War in Iraq - implications for the UK Economy
10 January 2003Will growth slow sharply?
20 December 2002House prices set to overshoot their fundamental level, but bust is not inevitable
13 December 2002Manufacturing recovery hopes take a battering
6 December 2002Risks to the UK Outlook
29 November 2002Chancellor announces higher borrowing
22 November 2002Is Gordon Brown’s luck starting to run out?
15 November 2002Inflation uncertainties delay interest rate cut
8 November 2002Interest rates held at 4% as house prices soar
1 November 2002War and the economy
25 October 2002Is deflation a real risk for the UK?
18 October 2002Inflation back over 2%
11 October 2002The regional distribution of population growth
4 October 2002Car registrations set for record year
27 September 2002Risks swing back to the downside in a number of sectors
20 September 2002No surprises on inflation
13 September 2002How vulnerable are the public finances?
6 September 2002Industrial recovery back on track....
30 August 2002Housing wealth is supporting consumer confidence
23 August 2002Unbalanced economic growth
16 August 2002Inflation picks up
9 August 2002Did UK growth bounce back in Q2?
2 August 2002A tale of two bubbles?
26 July 2002Q2 GDP growth above trend, recovering ground lost in previous six months
19 July 2002Eddie George Breathes Again
12 July 2002What does the weakness of the stockmarket mean for the UK economy?
5 July 2002The economic impact of the UK express industry
28 June 2002The dollar's losses are the UK exporters' gains
21 June 2002Tumbling inflation not a surprise
14 June 2002Manufacturing recovery now underway?
7 June 2002Does the housing market threaten economic stability?
31 May 2002The UK's poor productivity performance
24 May 2002Inflation stays low
17 May 2002Blair stirs up Euro debate
10 May 2002Is the manufacturing sector at a turning point?
3 May 2002The impact of entering EMU at an inappropriate exchange rate
26 April 2002The implications of the Budget for jobs and for EMU entry
19 April 2002Budget assessment
12 April 2002First monthly rise in manufacturing output since August
5 April 2002Do rising oil prices threaten UK macroeconomic policy?
28 March 2002Current Account deficit increased in Q4
22 March 2002Inflation falls back below target
15 March 2002Manufacturing recession continues as new economy sectors suffer
8 March 2002What has been the impact of recent economic developments on the different regions of the UK?
1 March 2002Output grinds to a halt in Q4
22 February 2002Will taxes rise in the Budget?
15 February 2002Inflation jumps above target
8 February 2002Why was GDP growth surprisingly strong in 2001Q4?
1 February 2002How worrying is the consumer lending boom?
25 January 2002Do business surveys indicate the worst is over?
18 January 2002Inflation nudges up, but falls expected this year
11 January 2002A consumer boom to compare with the late 1980s?
4 January 2002UK hit harder than US or Europe in 2001 by hi-tech bust
21 December 2001UK GDP per capita higher than Germany and France
14 December 2001Big fall in inflation increases risk of having to explain undershoot
7 December 2001Recession, what recession?
30 November 2001The Pre-Budget Report - optimistic on growth, pessimistic on government finances
23 November 2001Will the economic slowdown undermine Labour's spending plans?
16 November 2001Inflation undershoots
9 November 2001Prevarication over EMU
2 November 2001Is 11 September affecting the UK Consumer?
26 October 2001Growth holds up in Q3, but sectoral outlook variable
19 October 2001Inflation back on track
12 October 2001The regional implications of the UK economy under pressure
5 October 2001GDP growth to fall to lowest since 1992
28 September 2001Growth forecasts revised down
21 September 2001Inflation above the target highlights MPC dilemma
14 September 2001The Economic Impacts of the Terrorist Attacks in the US
7 September 2001House prices accelerate...
31 August 2001Has the UK trade balance with Europe deteriorated by more than National Statistics show?
24 August 2001The UK Trade Imbalance
17 August 2001Good news on inflation?
10 August 2001The August Inflation Report is published.
3 August 2001Stagflation risks?
27 July 2001Is the housing market set to fall ?
13 July 2001How important are different currencies for UK trade?
6 July 2001Industrial output slumps in May
29 June 2001Risks to the UK Outlook
21 June 2001What difference would EMU entry make?
15 June 2001How serious is the acceleration in inflation?
8 June 2001Next move in interest rates up despite weakness of manufacturing?
1 June 2001Economic growth by parliamentary constituency.
25 May 2001The implications of the general election.
18 May 2001Analysing regional growth potential.
11 May 2001Bank cuts rates as expected.
4 May 2001What would be the implications of reducing the inflation target to 2%?
27 April 2001How high is productivity growth?
20 April 2001Economic Outlook.
12 April 2001jump in earnings growth may postpone further interest rate cuts.
6 April 2001Foot and mouth update.
30 March 2001Revised Q4 growth of 0.4% still understates underlying strength.
23 March 2001Will the revival in car sales be sustained?
16 March 2001How will recent falls in equity prices affect the UK economy?
9 March 2001Analysis of the Budget.
2 March 2001What are the macroeconomic implications of the latest crisis to hit farming?
23 February 2001First signs of an impact from the US slowdown?
16 February 2001Domestic demand remains buoyant but inflationary pressures easing.
9 February 2001Weaker US outlook cuts UK growth forecast to 2.4%.
2 February 2001Odds must now favour cut in interest rates next week.
26 January 2001MPC split on interest rates, while economy falters in Q4.
19 January 2001A good week for inflation optimists.
12 January 2001MPC right not to cut interest rates yet.
5 January 2001would a UK interest rate cut be a repeat of the policy mistakes of the late 1980s?
15 December 2000Plenty of life left in the UK economy.
8 December 2000Industrial production weak but domestic demand remains buoyant.
1 December 2000Housing market still solid.
24 November 2000Final domestic demand strong in Q3.
17 November 2000Hopes of rate cut are premature.
10 November 2000Few surprises in pre-budget report.
3 November 2000Will the Pre-Budget Report be enough to satisfy fuel protestors?
27 October 2000Business confidence still in the doldrums.
20 October 2000Oh what a beautiful morning…
13 October 2000Retail inflation picks up.
6 October 2000Strong industrial production in August.
29 September 2000saving ratio at its lowest since the Lawson boom.
22 September 2000Too good to last?
15 September 2000Petrol worries, but wage costs moderate further.
8 September 2000Interest rates still on hold.
1 September 2000Good news for manufacturing?
25 August 2000Two-speed economy continues.
18 August 2000Lower earnings growth supports the narrow majority on the MPC voting against an interest rate rise this month.
11 August 2000house price growth slows as MPC puzzle over rates.
4 August 2000Stronger activity in both manufacturing and services, but interest rates on hold again.
28 July 2000Manufacturing slowdown confirmed.
21 July 2000Growth still above trend.
14 July 2000Mixed signals on inflationary pressures.
7 July 2000Manufacturing recovery will boost Q2 growth.
30 June 2000National Accounts revisions point to stronger consumer boom.
23 June 2000The exchange rate-interest rate trade-off.
16 June 2000Further signs of soft landing.
9 June 2000Interest rates on hold, but don't over-react to signs of cooling.
2 June 2000Growth steadies but at still buoyant pace.
26 May 2000UK growth revised up as exports surge.
19 May 2000Sterling's fall against the dollar a mixed blessing.
12 May 2000Sterling falls sharply as rate fears ease.
5 May 2000Interest rate pause fuels housing and consumer booms.
28 April 2000Will weak GDP growth delay rate rise?
20 April 2000More signs of overheating?
14 April 2000Strong growth but profit margins still under pressure.
7 April 2000The two-speed economy is back.

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