Our Economists
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| Pablo has been a senior economist at Oxford Economics since 2001, working as part of the macroeconomic team. He is responsible for the analysis and forecast of the Latin American economies. Pablo has also been managing a series of consultancy projects related to the tourist sector, including the development Tourism Satellite Accounts for a number of countries and regions. He is co-creator of the Oxford Latin American Economic History Database (OxLAD), a comprehensive dataset covering twenty countries in the region for the period 1900-2000. Pablo has a D.Phil. in Economics and a M.Sc. in Development Economics from the University of Oxford. He also has an undergraduate degree in System Engineering from the Universidad de los Andes, Venezuela. Before joining OEF he was research fellow at St. Antony’s College, Oxford, where he worked on issues related to developing countries. He is fluent in English and Spanish and has an intermediate level of Portuguese. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Lloyd Barton is a senior economist at Oxford Economics, where he is responsible for managing a range of consultancy projects, as well as participating in their macroeconomic forecasting and analysis work, with specific focus on Latin America. Lloyd joined Oxford Economics in 2009 from the Bank of Canada, where he had worked for two years as Principal Researcher in the Financial Stability Department. Lloyd was the Managing Editor and lead author of the Bank’s Financial System Review publication, and he conducted research into the global policy response to the financial crisis. Prior to his role at the Bank, Lloyd was a senior economist at the UK’s Financial Services Authority, where he worked from 2005-07. His role there consisted of analysing emerging risks to the UK financial system, constructing potential stress scenarios, and developing tools to translate this top-down analysis to the level of the individual firm. Lloyd began his professional career in the Economics Practice of PricewaterhouseCoopers, where he worked from 1998-2005. He progressed to the level of Manager in the Macroeconomics Division, where his responsibilities included forecasting and analysis of the US, UK and Eurozone economies, as well as working on strategic macroeconomic consultancy projects for a range of clients. Lloyd holds degrees in Economics from the Universities of Cambridge and Warwick. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| John Bulford is an economist within the Global Macroeconomics division of Oxford Economics. He first joined Oxford Economics in 2008 as part of a 12-month internship program, working on the underlying data systems and as an assistant economist. After his internship he returned to Brunel University where he achieved a first class degree in Economics (B.Sc). His dissertation examined bond spreads between sovereign debt of Eurozone economies, focusing upon the extent to which Eurozone membership reduces default risk premia. John rejoined the company in July 2010 as an economist, and is currently responsible for monitoring and forecasting the economies of Chile, UAE and the OPEC region. He has also been involved in improving the range of financial variables within the global model. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Neil Blake is Director of Economic Analysis at Oxford Economics. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Neil was in charge of economic forecasting and consultancy for Experian having previously been a founding director of Business Strategies Ltd. He has also worked for Wharton Econometrics (Global Insight) and the University of East Anglia. He holds degrees from the Universities of York and Warwick.
At Business Strategies and Experian Neil developed a suite of models that include macroeconomic, regional and sub-regional, labour market, local impact, consumer market, property, occupational change, commuting patterns, household formation and demographics. He has also directed Experian Business Strategies European Regional research programme. In earlier work with Wharton Econometrics (WEFA) he also worked on World Modelling systems and foreign exchange forecasts. Current responsibilities include overseeing international regional and industry modeling, UK economic forecasting and input to public sector consultancy.
Altogether, Neil has been involved in economic forecasting for nearly twenty-five years. He has particular interests in the interpretation and use of survey information in economic analysis and in the supply-side analysis of national and regional economies. Dr. Blake has published on a wide range of subjects including economic growth, regional economic modelling, economic history and the use of survey data in economic analysis and forecasting. He was also part of a joint Treasury/DTI/ODPM working group on how to deliver the Government’s Regional Economic Performance Public Service Agreement and has worked on both the Lyons Review on the location of government employment and the Barker Review of the economic effects of restrictions on housing supply and is currently a member of the Department for Community and Local Government’s expert panels on "Neighborhoods, Cities and Regions" and "Housing Market and Planning". ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Charles Burton has had a long career in business economics. He began his career in 1974 as an economist for Beecham Pharmaceuticals, before joining the Confederation of British Industry in 1975. He spent 10 years at the CBI, where he ran the CBI's business surveys and economic forecasting teams. Latterly as Deputy Director of Economics, he was also responsible for the CBI's economic policy representations. Between 1985 and 1988, he was in charge of the economic forecasting and consultancy business of Wharton Econometrics in the UK and N Europe. In 1988, he was one of the founding directors and Chief Executive of Business Strategies Ltd, a leading independent forecasting and consulting operation. After its acquisition by Experian in 2002, he was the global MD for the Business Strategies division within Experian. He joined Oxford Economics in April 2008 as the Director of Business Development. He is also a Fellow and council member of the Society of Business Economists and non-executive Chairman of the Lewis Charles Sofia Property Fund Ltd. He is a member of the Scottish Government's Economic Consultants Advisory Group. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Pete Collings is an economist at Oxford Economics’ consultancy division. He joined Oxford Economics in January 2009, having spent the previous two years on the ODI Fellowship Scheme in Zanzibar. While in Zanzibar, Pete worked as an economist in the Fiscal Policy Unit of the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs, where he was responsible for conducting budget performance assessments, and assessing and improving government tax structures; he also created the Ministry’s first VAT projection model. During his time in Zanzibar, Pete was also a member of the team conducting the second cross-sector Public Expenditure Review for HIV and AIDS on behalf of the Zanzibar AIDS Commission and UNDP. Pete was educated at the University of York, England, where he gained a first class degree in Economics; and at the School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, where he obtained an MSc in Development Economics. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Adrian Cooper is responsible for coordinating and managing Oxford Economics’ global economic analysis, forecasting and consultancy activities, and overseeing its team based in Oxford, London, Belfast, Paris, New York, Philadelphia, Singapore and the UAE. He has led Oxford Economics’ work on a wide array of consultancy projects, ranging from policy advice to government departments in Europe, the US, Africa and Asia to detailed analysis of the economic impact of particular industries and investment proposals.
Adrian spent the first seven years of his career with HM Treasury, England. During this time, he worked on the analysis of tax and other economic policy changes as part of the preparations for the UK Budget. He was also the coordinator of the government's macroeconomic forecast for two years. Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 1994, Adrian was UK economist for James Capel & Company, responsible for analysing and forecasting the UK economy for institutional investors, as well as briefing Capel's own traders.
Adrian was educated at the University of Bristol, England, where he gained a first class degree in Economics; and at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he achieved a distinction in the MSc in Economics and won the Ely Devons prize for outstanding performance in the degree examinations. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Ashleigh Craig is an economist with Oxford Economics’ regional services division, having joined Oxford Economics in January 2007, prior to which she was an economist with Regional Forecasts Ltd. In her time with Regional Forecasts Ltd Ashleigh has worked on various projects ranging from assisting in the development of forecasting models at regional and sub-regional level, to producing extensive analysis of sub-regional economies. Ashleigh specialises in qualitative analysis and survey design, and was one of the leading authors on the Derry Labour Market Review. This included demand and supply side analysis of the key sectors in the Derry City Council area and involved various workshop sessions with stakeholders and community groups. Ashleigh also authored and assisted in the development of Cookstown District Council’s socio-economic profile. Ashleigh also contributes to the development of the ongoing bi-annual Regional Economic Outlook and regional chapter writing. Ashleigh graduated in 2006 with a degree in economics from the University of Ulster, Jordanstown. During this time Ashleigh worked with Regional Forecasts Ltd as a research assistant where she assisted on several forecasting models and research studies including the West of Scotland forecasts and the Education and Welfare Workforce Planning Model conducted on behalf of the Belfast Education and Library Board. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Pierre Delage is an Economist with Oxford Economics, where he has been responsible for forecasting European and Asian economies within the European and Emerging Market teams. He has also been involved in a broader bi-annual forecast round of smaller economies. He is now based in Paris to conduct business development tasks in France and Europe. Pierre is a graduate from the Ecole Superieure de Commerce de Paris, a leading French Grande Ecole, where he followed a major in Finance. After that, he had a short experience at Arthur Andersen and a one-year job as a Financial Analyst in the internet division of the French conglomerate Vivendi Universal in Paris. He then chose to turn to macroeconomics by following a MSc in Macroeconomics from Paris-Dauphine University, where he focused on the concepts of macroeconomic equilibrium and fundamental exchange rate. Pierre also holds a BA in Philosophy from the Paris-Sorbonne University. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Patrick Dennis is a senior economist at Oxford Economics responsible for monitoring and forecasting a number of countries including many in the Middle East, Southern Africa, and SE Asia. Recently joined in November 2008, (though he has freelanced for Oxford Economics for many years) Patrick has over 25 years experience as an economist in the City. His first job was as a government statistician attached to HM Customs and Excise involved in interpreting and analysing the overseas trade statistics. He moved to the City in 1981 joining National Westminster Bank, principally as an UK economist specialising in inflation, money supply and the public finances but also had a spell in market research. Patrick moved in 1985 and became chief economist and head of research at Industrial Bank of Japan where he spent over 10 years covering everything from the macroeconomic analysis of the UK and Eurozone to country risk in Europe, Middle East and Africa, financial market trends and banking research. Patrick spent a further 7 years at Fuji bank and the merged Mizuho bank as a senior economist in charge of their country risk activities in Europe, Middle East, Africa and Central Asia. Patrick developed sophisticated country risk models and early warning indicators of currency crises that were adopted across the group. He also was responsible for credit supervision for all sovereign and quasi-sovereign transactions. Patrick spent another brief spell at Royal Bank of Scotland as a senior country economist before moving to his most recent job as Senior Economist at the City of London Corporation, the local authority for the ‘Square Mile.’ Patrick did his first economics degree at Leeds University before studying for an MPhil in economics at Oxford University. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Marie holds an MSc (Cambridge) in Economics and is a graduate from the Ecole Centrale Paris. She joined OEF in 1997, working for three years as an analyst on European countries. She was also involved in specialist model-building and consultancy projects and in OEF’s international industry service. In 2000, Marie moved to the European Central Bank where as a Principal Economist, she took various roles, in forecasting, economic research and monetary policy analysis. In particular, she developed a set of models for short-term forecasting. After five years, she went to work for Brevan Howard, one of the largest European hedge funds. She advised the fund’s traders on economic and monetary policy developments. In 2007, Marie returned to Oxford Economics, where she is working on a variety of consultancy projects for private companies and public and international organisations. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Keith Edmonds is a senior economist at Oxford Economics, working as part of its international industries team, analysing global trends in the motor vehicle and high-tech sectors as well as the tourism sector, whilst also covering macroeconomic trends in Bulgaria and Romania. He has led Oxford Economics’ work on a wide array of consultancy projects, including the production of detailed Tourism Satellite Accounts, models for particular industries and studies of charity legacy income. He also coordinates Oxford Economics’ annual forecast for the global tourism industry which covers 181 countries.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics in June 2001, Keith worked as a professional economist for fifteen years in London, mainly in City investment banks, and was deputy head of research at the Japanese bank Mizuho International (formerly the Industrial Bank of Japan) from 1994-2000 and a senior economist at NatWest Markets (from 1989-94). His primary focus was on forecasting European economic and monetary developments, in particular analysing the development of Europe’s single currency and enlargement projects.
Keith was educated in 1979-82 at King’s College, Cambridge, England, where he gained an upper second class degree in Economics; and in 1982-83 at the University of Sussex, England, where he achieved an MA in Development Economics. He then spent 1983-85 working in Uganda’s Ministry of Planning and Economic Development in Kampala and has maintained an interest in Africa subsequently through several vacations there. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Sarah Fowler joined Oxford Economics as an Economist in March 2009. She is part of the macro economic forecasting team and is responsible for monitoring and forecasting the economies of Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore. She also reports the emerging markets data for a weekly publication and works on a number of consultancy projects. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Sarah spent three years working for Alliance Trust, spending two years on the Management Training Programme before joining the Economics team where she was responsible for monitoring and forecasting developments across the emerging market economies. She holds the Investment Management Certificate. Sarah was educated at the University of Bristol where she gained a BSc in Economics and subsequently an MSc in Economics. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Neil Gibson is the director of Oxford Economics’ Regional Services Division, having joined Oxford Economics in January 2007 as part of the merger with Regional Forecasts where he was the Managing Director. In his role he is responsible for Oxford’s regional products which include a full suite of UK and Ireland regional and sub-regional models and a programme of regionally focussed research and consultancy. He leads a team based in Belfast, Oxford and London and is part of Oxford Economics' management team. Neil has particular experience in developing forecast models, delivering evidence based policy advice and providing thought leadership on issues facing regional and sub-regional economies. He is a regular commentator in the press on economic matters and a frequent speaker at conferences and seminars. Recently he has been leading Oxford Economics’ research into urban renaissance and the role and importance of cities in supporting future growth as well as analysing the spatial impacts and potential legacy of the recession. Neil also leads the Oxford Economics' regional model development programme which, amongst other activities, has recently embedded the companies carbon research programme into the regional model and mainstreamed land use and housing forecasts. With expertise on the economic conditions in the UK and Ireland, Neil also contributes to the wider global aspects of Oxford Economics' portfolio of work, feeding into the international forecast team, sectoral teams and a range on thought leadership pieces as well as speaking at the firms' conferences.
Neil graduated in 1999 with a degree in economics from the University of Ulster, Jordanstown. He later obtained an MSc in Computers and Applications from Queen’s University in Belfast in 2001. During this period, Neil worked with the Northern Ireland Economic Research Centre (NIERC) who formerly assisted in the production of Oxford Economics’ Regional Economic Outlook where he managed the development of the forecasts for the UK regions. Neil also worked as a Senior Economist at PricewaterhouseCoopers.
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| Doug Godden is a senior economist at Oxford Economics, working on both international industry forecasts and economic consultancy projects. Since joining the company in May 2009, his forecasting work has focused mainly on the construction sector, including a major contribution to the ‘Global Construction 2020’ project as well as inputs to the quarterly forecasting round. His consultancy work to date has covered various aspects of UK fiscal policy as well as the medium-term prospects for London’s economy. Doug joined Oxford Economics from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), where he spent 21 years in various economics-related positions – including Head of Economic Analysis from 2001 until 2007, during which time he was responsible for overseeing the organisation’s forecasting and economic survey outputs in addition to its Budget and other policy work. His final two years at the CBI, as Head of Economic and Fiscal Policy, were focused mainly on UK Budget policy matters. His earlier CBI career involved spells in both the Economic Analysis team, where he looked after the Industrial Trends Survey amongst other things, and in the Economic Policy team, where he was responsible for wide-ranging project work including fiscal and monetary policy matters, savings and investment issues, and aspects of European economic and monetary union. He also spent time on secondment at the Foreign Office’s European Union Department (1999-2000), and as Head of the CBI’s Enterprise Group, charged with looking after the organisation’s work in support of small and medium-sized enterprises (2000-01). Doug graduated from University College London in 1985 with a First Class BSc (Econ) degree in Economics. He went on to study at Brasenose College, Oxford, gaining the degree of Master of Philosophy (MPhil) in Economics in 1987. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| David Goodger is a senior economist within Oxford Economics’ Tourism Economics division, and is primarily responsible for developing and maintaining the global model of tourism flows and spending covering around 175 origins and destinations. He also takes an active role in consultancy work and has recently contributed to projects to help destinations in identifying key origin markets. Since joining Oxford Economics in 2000, David Goodger has been involved in the full range of forecasting and modelling activities. He has worked within both the macroeconomic and industrial forecasting teams, contributing to regular reports as well as client specific studies and ongoing model development. More recently David has worked within the consultancy division, with an emphasis on the energy sector and analysis of carbon abatement policies. David was educated at the University of Bristol, England, where he gained a first class degree in Economics with Statistics; and at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he graduated with an MSc in Econometrics and Mathematical Economics. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Andrew Goodwin is a Senior Economist at Oxford Economics. He is responsible for forecasting and monitoring the UK economy and manages a number of related consultancy projects. Andrew contributes regular articles to a number of our publications and also co-ordinates the production of the quarterly UK Economic Outlook document.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics in August 2008, Andrew spent three years working for Experian where he managed the Regional Planning Service. He was responsible for producing UK macroeconomic forecasts from the national level down to local authorities and communicating the house view to clients. He also managed a range of consultancy projects for private and public sector clients, ranging from quantifying demand for major utility companies to analysing how changes in the macroeconomic environment impact on individual household balance sheets and spending patterns. Prior to joining Experian, Andrew spent four years as a Senior Economist at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) where he was responsible for producing the UK forecast, in addition to providing analysis for the CBI Industrial Trends Survey and CBI Distributive Trades Survey. Andrew was educated at the University of Surrey, where he gained an upper second class degree in Business Economics with Computing. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Graham will be permanently based in Cambridge from the beginning of March. He has worked closely with OEF on forecasting and consultancy for many years as Director of Regional Forecasts Ltd and recently joined Oxford Economics on the merger of the two companies. He was seconded as Special Adviser to the Northern Ireland First Minister on economic policy from November 1999 -2002. Prior to this, he was the Director of the Northern Ireland Economic Research Centre, the office of which he held since the Centre was established in 1985. Before that, he was a Senior Research Officer in the Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge and Economics Fellow of Selwyn College, Cambridge. His research specialisms are regional economic policy and forecasting and small firms. He is the author of a large number of books, reports and journal articles on regional economic growth in the UK and on the growth of small firms. He has also published widely on economic development issues in Northern Ireland. He has recently been involved in developing local forecast models for a number of UK urban areas including Birmingham, Manchester, Glasgow and Belfast. This work has entailed development of detailed local forecasting models which cover housing variables in addition to economic variables. Advising local government on urban policy to support economic growth is currently a major straw in Graham’s work in Regional Forecasts. He has been advisor to the House of Commons NI Affairs Committee, a member of the Labour Party Commission on the Future of Regional Policy in England, a member of the CBI Corporate affairs Committee in Northern Ireland and a member of the Executive Committee of the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) in Dublin. He was a member of the NIERC Board from 2002-4, and is currently a member of the Board of the Economic Research Institute of Northern Ireland (ERINI). Graham graduated from the University of London in 1968 with a first class degree in geography. After which he also obtained a PhD from the University of Leicester (1974) and degree in mathematics with the Open University (1978). ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Graeme Harrison is a Lead Consultant in the Regional Services Division of Oxford Economics. He leads the All-Island consultancy services (north and south of Ireland), as well as a range of consultancy projects on behalf of public bodies and private organisations in GB. Graeme has also been involved in Oxford Economics’ international consultancy projects, including for the Libyan National Economic Development Board. Graeme’s work ranges from extensive economic modelling, analysis and forecasting to providing guidance in the area of policy planning. Recent major projects Graeme has led / is currently involved in include: London future skill needs; the economic, skills and labour market impact of migration in Northern Ireland; Citi-Scope model for the Ilex Regeneration Plan, and research into international productivity lessons. Graeme has also lead several consultancy projects for the World Bank and DfID in Uganda, most recently undertaking a public expenditure review of the conflict-affected Northern region, and has provided technical macroeconomic advisory services to the Ugandan Ministry of Finance.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Graeme spent 2 years as a Senior Economist working for the Ugandan Ministry of Finance through the distinguished Overseas Development Institute (ODI) Fellowship Programme. Graeme graduated from Queen’s University in 2002 with a first class honours degree in finance and received the Financial Times award for outstanding performance in degree examinations. He later obtained an MSc with distinction, also from Queen’s. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Rhys Herbert is a Senior Economist working on the International Industry Service. He is also developing an on-line briefing service on topical economic issues for industrial sectors. He has worked on a number of projects including a study of the UK Aviation. Rhys graduated in Economic History from the LSE in 1983 and then obtained an MSc in Economics from Queen Mary College, University of London. Rhys joined OEF in January 2006. Previously he had worked in both the public and private sectors. After a spell as part of the forecasting team at NIESR, he was employed for many years in the City. He initially worked for a stock broker and then for over 13 years for the investment management arm of Prudential Assurance, latterly as its Chief Economist. Prior to joining OEF Rhys was a Senior Economist at the Office of National Statistics involved in the compilation of GDP data and other official statistics. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Sarah Hunter joined Oxford Economics in June 2010, where she is part of the macro economic forecasting team. She is responsible for monitoring and forecasting the economies of South Africa and Taiwan, and has also been involved in a number of consulting projects. Sarah has a degree in economics from the University of Cambridge and an MSc in Economics from the London School of Economics, which she passed with distinction. She recently finished her DPhil in Economics at the University of Oxford, where her thesis modelled the impact of World War I on Britain’s position in the global economy. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Kerry Houston is the Head of Regional Model Development in the Regional Services Division of Oxford Economics. She heads Oxfords regional and local forecasting team as well as a range of consultancy projects. As Head of Model Development, Kerry has overall responsibility for forecasting and monitoring the UK's regional economies. She co-authors and manages the Regional Economic Outlook report which presents the regional outlooks alongside some analysis. Kerry is a specialist in developing local forecasting models and has taken a lead role in designing local forecast models for a range of local areas including Manchester, Telford, Oldham and Rochdale, the West of Scotland and the Black Country. Kerry is an expert in regional statistics and methods and has lead responsibility for ensuring the accuracy, consistency and appropriateness of data for each project. Kerry is adept at using a wide range of statistical and econometric packages and has considerable experience in developing be-spoke technical solutions to forecasting and analysis issues. Further to this Kerry has a wealth of experience in scenario analysis. Kerry also has taken the lead responsibility on a number of private and public sector consultancy projects including a quarterly forecasts for the Northern Bank, the Greater Manchester Forecasting Model, and Economic Reviews for Scottish Enterprise.
Kerry has recently completed a Post-graduate Diploma in Applied Economics and is currently undertaking a MSC in Applied Economics. Prior to this, Kerry gained a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics from the University of Ulster. As an undergraduate, Kerry worked within the Northern Ireland Economic Research Centre as a research assistant where she provided assistance for the development of the forecasts for the Regional Economic Outlook, and various other economic studies. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Toby Irving is an Economic Consultant in the Regional Services division of Oxford Economics. He is well versed in both quantitative and qualitative research and analysis, including area-based assessment, economic impact profiling, sectoral and regional forecasting and economic strategy development. Since joining the company in August 2009, he has been involved in consulting projects on migration, the financial services sector, and the low carbon economy amongst others; he has also helped develop a new carbon emissions impact forecasting model for local authority areas in England
Toby graduated from the London School of Economics with a BSc in Economics and Geography. During this time he worked at Experian Business Strategies as a research assistant, where he assisted on several research projects including a study looking at 'The economic role of Canterbury as a growth centre in South East England', for the South East Development Agency.
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| Simon Knapp is a senior economist at Oxford Economics, responsible for monitoring and forecasting developments across the emerging market economies (Oxford Economics currently forecasts over 140 emerging economies). He is editor and co-ordinator of the Emerging Markets Outlook quarterly document and the Emerging Markets Watch monthly updates. He has also worked extensively on consultancy projects related to this area, such as assessing China’s future commodity demands and forecasting oil demand in the emerging markets. Simon joined Oxford Economics in 2001. He spent the first eleven years of his career working as an economist in the investment banking subsidiary of Barclays Bank (BZW and Barclays Capital). This period included five years working as a UK economist, responsible for analysing and forecasting the UK economy for institutional investors, as well as briefing BZW’s own traders; five years as a global economist, responsible for generating new research used by the rest of the BZW Strategy department; and eighteen months as European economist. Simon was educated at the London School of Economics, where he gained an upper second class degree in Economics and subsequently an MSc in Economics. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Anthony is a Senior Economist at Oxford Economics, having joined from Experian Business Strategies Division where he was Head of Economics.
Whilst at Experian, Anthony led the Economic Forecasting Unit, and had particular responsibility for producing national and regional economic forecasts and analysing industry trends.
Anthony specialises in European regional economic forecasting and analysis and is responsible for developing research and services in this area. He has worked extensively with a broad range of clients in both the public and private sectors and has led a number of major consultancy projects. Recent examples include providing location advice to property companies wishing to invest in European markets, an in-depth assessment of the contribution of retail sector to the European economy, and numerous studies that benchmarked the performance of UK cities with international comparators.
Anthony graduated from the University of Surrey in 1999 where he obtained a BSc (Hons) in Economics and Sociology.
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| Scott Livermore oversees the day-to-day running of Oxford Economics’ international macroeconomic forecasting services. This involves supervising Oxford Economics’ team of forecasters and taking a lead role in directing the outlook at a global level, while ensuring consistency between the individual country forecasts. He has a specific forecast interest in the Eurozone and German economies. Scott also takes a lead role in a number of Oxford’s consultancy projects. Recent consultancy projects that Scott has worked on include developing macroeconomic models for the governments of Azerbaijan and Egypt, analysing the economic impact of R&D spending by the aerospace sector and assessing the implications of trade liberalisation and CAP reform in the EU. After completing a degree in Philosophy, Politics and Economics at St. Edmund Hall, Oxford University and a M.Sc. in Economics at University College London, Scott joined Oxford Economic Forecasting in 1997. During his initial five years at Oxford Economic Forecasting, he worked as a country analyst for a number of European countries and participated in numerous consultancy projects for a variety of international organisations (including the World Bank, IMF and EC), governments and multi-national companies using both Oxford Economics’ Global Macromodel and building specialised economic models. Scott rejoined Oxford Economics in 2005 as a senior economist after spending two years at the Ministry of Finance in the Slovak Republic assisting to prepare the medium-term macroeconomic framework and developing the analytical capacity of the Ministry of Finance to prepare macroeconomic forecasts. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Andy Logan is responsible for a range of consultancy projects. These include the economic impact of the City of London’s arts funding, the effectiveness of supported employment schemes and the economic impact of the space industry in the UK. He also participates in Oxford Economics’ economic analysis and forecasting work, focusing on the performance of the UK and Polish economies. Andy spent the first fifteen years of his career as an economist at the Bank of England. During this time, he spent seven years in the Bank’s monetary analysis division working on the analysis of inflationary pressure in the UK economy. His specific focus was the labour market, trade flows and prices early in the UK supply chain. Andy also spent eight years in the Bank’s financial stability area. There he was responsible for the analysis of the safety and soundness of UK banks and the development of the second Basel Accord on banking regulation. He has authored a number of articles in Bank of England and other publications. Andy was educated at the University of Leicester, England, where he gained a upper second class degree in Economics; and at Queen Mary College, University of London, England, where he obtained a MSc in Economics. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Helen is a Senior Economist with Oxford Economics, prior to which she worked as an economist with Regional Forecasts Ltd which formally merged with OE in January 2007. Helen specialises in the development and updating of the Regional Economic Outlook which she continues to work on. In addition to this, Helen was heavily involved with the development of the NI Local Model of Administrative Districts and the GB local models for each of the UK regions, and she continues to update, maintain and improve these models. Her body of work spans a wide variety and includes the East of England Forecasting Model (EEFM) which she manages; and the Greater Manchester Forecasting Model (GMFM) and the Northern Ireland Policy Simulation (NI_PS) Model. Further to this Helen has expertise in producing scenarios quantifying the impact of alternate outcomes on the national, region of macro economy; and has undertaken significant work in this area for a wide range of clients including DRD, DEL and EEDA. Helen has extensive knowledge of a wide range of data sources for all regions and local authorities of the UK and comparative indicators for the Republic of Ireland. In addition to her modelling work she has played a key role in various consultancy projects during her time with both Regional Forecasts and Oxford Economics ranging from economic impact assessments to analysis into the regional and local balance of net contributions to the UK exchequer to skills needs assessments. Projects that Helen has worked on include a commuting profile for Essex, monthly jobs announcements and data updates for Yorkshire Forward, and public finances analysis quantifying the net contributions of regions and local councils to the Exchequer. More recently Helen played a lead role in measuring the skills demand by sub-region in the North West region on behalf of the NWDA by sector, occupation and skill level over the past fifteen years and out to 2030. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Sam Moore is Director of Consulting Services at Oxford Economics. He manages Oxford Economics’ London office and is responsible for coordinating and managing many of Oxford Economics’ major consultancy projects. Sam was project manager for the recent contribution by Oxford Economics to the Public Services Industry Review on behalf of BERR led by De Anne Julius. Other recent projects which Sam has managed include an assessment of the economic contribution of the UK shipping industry; a study assessing the economic importance of the Intermediate Research and Technology Sector to the UK; a joint study with Deloitte assessing the importance of the tourism industry to the UK economy on behalf of Visit Britain and the Tourism Alliance; an economic impact assessment study for Etihad Airway; a long term industry dynamics study for a major tobacco manufacturer as part of their strategic review; a study assessing the implications for a change in the alcohol tax regime in Mexico; research for the London Development Agency investigating London’s opportunities in emerging markets; an assessment of the economic impact of the UK space industry; an economic impact assessment study for Gulf Air; an assessment of the contribution international students have made to the London economy; an assessment of the impact mental health has had on the economy; and an analysis of the impact of home information packs on the UK housing market.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics Sam spent the previous eight years of his career with Experian where he managed a team of 7 economists and led the economic modelling work undertaken there. Sam also managed numerous major consultancy projects for both public and private sector organisations at Experian. Prior to joining Experian in 1998, Sam worked in the macroeconomics division at the Office for National Statistics.
Sam graduated from Warwick University from which he also has an MSc in Economics, gaining a distinction for his dissertation. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Joshua Nava joined Oxford Economics as a Junior Economist in October 2007. He is part of the industry forecasting team and his work on the International Industry Model primarily focuses on Aerospace. Joshua has also been involved in several pieces of consultancy work including looking at the economic impact of the finance sector, finance and business conditions in the recycling and reprocessing sector as well as writing monthly economic briefs for a Regional Development Agency.
Joshua graduated from Nottingham University with a First Class degree in Economics in 2006 before completing an MSc in Economics at the University of Warwick in 2007. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Rain Newton-Smith is a Senior Economist at Oxford Economics, responsible for forecasting and monitoring developments in China, Hong Kong and Taiwan. She also works with our global model on a range of ‘what if’ scenarios including global risk scenarios and the impact of fiscal policy in Asia. Rain joined Oxford Economics from the Bank of England where she had a variety of roles over the course of nine years. These included analysing the supply-side determinants of the UK economy, preparing the international forecast for the Monetary Policy Committee and working as a research advisor to Richard Lambert, a former member of the MPC. In 2004, Rain started a two year secondment as an advisor to the UK Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund in Washington D.C., where she worked on global financial stability issues as well as on economic development in the Middle East. Rain returned to the Bank to lead a team on risk assessment, contributing to the Bank of England’s Financial Stability Report. Rain studied Politics, Philosophy and Economics at Oxford University and holds an MSc in Economics from LSE with a focus on international trade. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Fabio Ortolani is a member of the international macroeconomic forecasting team. He is responsible for monitoring and forecasting a number of countries, mainly in Central Europe, and reports the Eurozone data for a weekly publication. Since he joined Oxford Economics as an economist in January 2009, Fabio has been involved in several projects. In particular, he has contributed to the construction and estimation of models for house prices, equilibrium exchange rates and commodity prices among others. Fabio obtained a degree in International Economics and an MSc in Econometrics from the University of Rome. He also gained an MSc in Finance and Economics from the London School of Economics in 2008. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Jeffrey Peel joined Oxford Economics in July 2010, after running his own consulting practice for nearly 9 years. Prior to this he was VP Global Marketing for a leading CRM software company. He has also held senior roles at Research International (London), Roper Starch Worldwide (Princeton, NJ) and 3Com Corp (UK and Silicon Valley).
As Director of Consulting and Thought Leadership Services at Oxford Economics, Jeff specialises in evidence-based consulting – with a strong focus on information and communications technologies (ICT). Jeff published a book on Customer Relationship Management in 2002 – part of a series published by Butterworth Heinemann on enterprise software.
Jeff’s clients have included IBM, Microsoft, BT, 3Com – among many other leading ICT firms. He has deep expertise in cloud computing, enterprise software, mobility, shared service models and digital content. He is also considered a thought leader himself in the area of next generation government enabled by social technology. Jeff has considerable evidence based consulting experience with a strong focus on market sizing and sectoral analysis. His background in research, economics and social policy ensures core competencies in matters of economic policy and change – ensuring a quantified and empirical basis to his research work. Jeff is a full member of the UK’s Market Research Society and holds the Society’s post-graduate diploma in market research. He has an honours degree in Economics from Queen’s University, Belfast and a post-graduate qualification in commercial law, also from Queen’s. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Mike Phillips is a senior economist with Oxford Economics and leads a variety of consultancy projects for government, major companies and specialist economic development agencies, both in the UK and overseas. His recent projects have included policy research, economic impact, evaluation and feasibility studies, while some of his main research interests include the economics of international trade and investment, tourism, cross-border migration, social development and the environment (Mike is a lead consultant in the Oxford Economics Low Carbon Economy Programme). Joining the company in 2008 from Regeneris Consulting, the UK economic development consultancy, and with prior experience at KPMG, Mike is well-versed in evaluating the impacts of public expenditure, developing area and sector-based strategies for sustainable growth, and assessing both the commercial feasibility and local level socio-economic impacts of proposed infrastructure developments. Mike holds a first-class honours degree in management and international business economics from Manchester Business School, from where he was awarded the school’s economics prize, the university award for best overall performance and a distinction for his dissertation on economic development prospects in Malaysia. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Christopher is responsible for editing and coordinating Oxford Economics’ country briefing service (formerly the Hilfe daily briefing service), as well as writing analysis on a daily basis. He has also been involved in Oxford Economics’ work on Africa and the Middle East and analysis of emerging markets generally. Christopher joined Oxford Economics in 2001, having previously been managing editor for Hilfe Research, based in London. The first ten years of Christopher’s career were with Standard Chartered Bank in London covering developments in Africa and commodity markets. He then moved to ANZ Banking Group in London for ten years as Senior Economist, before becoming vice-president at ANZ Investment Bank, working in the Emerging Markets team, advising bond and local currency traders, working closely with the Syndications teams and liaising with corporate clients, while also producing the regular ANZ Emerging Markets Bond Guide. Christopher was educated at the University of Essex (1972-76) where he gained an upper second degree in Economics and then an MA in Economics. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Adam Sacks is the founder and Managing Director of Oxford Economics’ Tourism Economics division. Adam came to Oxford Economics from Global Insight, where he began its travel & tourism consulting practice. Adam has worked with over fifty tourism offices throughout the world. He has advised destinations on tourism investment policy, entry procedures, tourism taxation, and marketing strategies. He has provided destinations with analysis on market positioning and emerging opportunities. Adam is an authority on measuring the economic impact of tourism activity and has implemented the UN-methodology for measuring the tourism (Tourism Satellite Accounts) for over twenty destinations. Adam has consulted with multi-national hotel chains, airlines, aircraft manufacturers, theme parks, resort developers, and retail operators to measure current and future market opportunities. He has presented to numerous corporate strategic planning teams on the threats and opportunities facing their businesses within the projected travel and economic climate. He is experienced in developing custom systems for quantifying tourism market segment opportunities and has developed tourism forecasting models with exceptional track records. Adam is a regular conference speaker on issues related to tourism market analysis, the economic impact of tourism and travel-demand forecasting. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Abby Samp joined Oxford Economics in September 2008, where she is part of the macro economic forecasting team. She is responsible for monitoring and forecasting the economies of Austria, Finland, Greece and Norway. She also reports the US data for a weekly publication and works on a number of consultancy projects. Abby studied economics at McGill University in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, where she graduated with great distinction and received the Hubert Marleau prize for top marks in economics. She then went on to do an MSc in econometrics and mathematical economics at the London School of Economics and Political Science, where she graduated with distinction. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Adam Slater is a senior economist at Oxford Economics, responsible for contributing to and helping to communicate OE's global macroeconomic view including writing for and helping edit OE's regular publications. He has a particular interest in developments in financial markets, and specific forecast interests in the the Japanese, Swedish and Danish economies. He is also involved in Oxford Economics' work on a variety of consultancy projects.
Before joining Oxford Economics, he spent more than ten years working as an economist and strategist in the City of London for Nomura, Rabobank and Calyon. During this period, he was responsible for analyzing a wide variety of economies in both the developing and the industrialised world. He also covered financial market developments, including developments in currency and bond markets, and worked directly with traders and salespeople to elaborate strategies for use internally and for dissemination to customers.
Adam gained a first class degree in Economics from the University of Bath and also holds an MPhil from Cambridge University. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Nick is a senior economist at Oxford Economics and is responsible for carrying out a range Oxford Economics’ consultancy projects. Recent projects managed by Nick include a study to illustrate the consequences of raising excise duty on alcoholic products for the Exchequer and for the UK economy for Diageo; the economic impact of the express delivery industry on the global economy prepared for the Global Express Association; projections for the growth of wages of care assistants and home carers in the UK for Munich Re; projections of Olympic Accommodation demand in East London for Waltham Borough Council; a study on behalf of the Silicones Environmental, Health and Safety Council of North America (SEHSC) to quantify the socio-economic impact of the silicone industry in North America; an economic impact assessment of Etihad Airways to the Emirate Abu Dhabi; and demonstrating the economic benefits of science research for various UK Research Councils.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Nick spent the first 12 years of his career at Experian during which time he directed the Economics Business Unit of 20 Economists, established the Economic Modelling team responsible for the production and development of Experian’s core sub-national economic and property market forecasting propositions.
Nick graduated from Surrey University in 1996 with a First Class honours degree in Business Economics and Computing. He is a member of the Society of Business Economists and the Society of Property Researchers. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Andrew Tessler joined Oxford Economics in July 2007 from Booz Allen Hamilton in Australia. He has some eleven years experience as an economist, including four years at the New South Wales Treasury and seven at Booz Allen. He also served five years as a law enforcement intelligence officer.
Andrew’s work has covered a diverse range of sectors (with a particular focus on transport and infrastructure) and has included economic appraisals, valuations, rate of return studies, market analysis and program reviews.
Previous projects have included: economic and financial appraisals of Singapore metro extensions; an economic appraisal of a proposed Sydney light rail extension; examination of service delivery and cost implications of information technology rollouts; a review of the national economic impacts of transport investment; a strategic analysis of Australia’s Emerging Crime Program; valuation and rate of return analysis for a major port and electricity provider; economic reviews of Sydney, Melbourne and Singapore airport rail links; economic appraisal of Global Navigation Satellite Systems implementation and market analysis of strategic change at New Zealand Post.
Andrew was educated at the University of Sydney, where he majored in Economics and Government, gaining a first class B.A., and at the University of New South Wales, where he obtained a Master of Commerce (Econometrics and Marketing). He also holds a Graduate Diploma in Transport Management from the University of Sydney, is a past joint winner of the AC Nielsen (Australia) prize in Market Research and is currently studying towards a Graduate Diploma in Finance and Investment. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Joined Oxford Economics in 2010. From 2000 to 2010, was Executive Director of Oxford Analytica where he was a member of the management Team, Director of Consultancy, managed many of the firm’s key client relationships and was responsible for Business and Financial Markets coverage. He acted as project Director and advisor for a number of major projects.
Prior to joining Oxford Analytica, he worked in Investment Banking in
London and Tokyo for over 20 years, principally on capital markets,
leveraged finance and corporate finance with a particular focus on financial
institutions. From 1976-80, Jens Tholstrup was an Associate with Credit Suisse
White Weld (now CSFB); from 1980-83 he was Manager, Hill Samuel & Co.;
And, from 1983-2000, Executive Director, SG Warburg/UBS Warburg. Jens holds a BA in PPE from the University of Oxford. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| David Thomas is responsible for analysing and forecasting the chemical and consumer sectors for Oxford Economics' International Industry Service. He is also involved in a wide range of consultancy work for industrial clients and for developing services to meet the needs of this client base. He has lectured extensively to both regular Oxford Economics’ meetings and to external conferences on industrial and economic prospects. He also acts as economic adviser to the Association of Cost Engineers Cost Index Group. David spent thirty five years working for ICI in a wide variety of roles. His early career involved forecasting and planning work for the ICI businesses. There was then a period introducing economic modelling into the company, followed by several years of responsibility for economic forecasting. David ended his ICI service in charge of the Economics function. He left ICI in 1999 bringing with him a significant part of ICI’s economic work and OEF continues to provide services to both ICI and many of its divested businesses. David was educated at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he gained an upper second class degree in Economics, specialising in mathematical economics and operational research. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Lea Tyler manages the day-to-day operations at Oxford Economics USA, the US subsidiary of Oxford Economics. In addition to her managerial role, she forecasts the US and Canadian economies. She is also responsible for the continual development of those two country models and client training and technical support in the US. Prior to joining Oxford Economics in 1990, Lea was a senior economist at The WEFA Group (now Global Insight). In her last position there, she was responsible for managing the US short-term forecast, coordinating the US forecast with industry and international forecasts, and contributing to the development of the US quarterly model. She also served as economics editor, responsible for the quality of writing and economic consistency in the company’s publications. Lea has a bachelor’s degree in mathematics from the University of Rochester and has undertaken graduate studies in economics at Temple University. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| John Walker is Chairman of Oxford Economics, which he founded in 1981. From 1973 to 1977, John worked in the UK Treasury where he became an economic adviser in the short-term forecasting division. He then worked for the consultancy arm of The Economist Newspaper, before becoming a Special Adviser to the EEC Commission in Brussels in 1980, where he was co-ordinator of the forecasts for all the EEC countries and related forecasts for the USA and Japan. John returned to the UK in 1983 to work full-time for Oxford Economic Forecasting. He has headed Oxford's move into international forecasting, developing strong links with economists around the world and co-ordinating the development of the PC versions of the Oxford models that are now widely used in the UK and the rest of the world. As well as being a much-respected commentator on global economic prospects, John leads major consultancy projects with government departments and multinational companies from Europe and the United States on issues ranging from international capital flows to developments in the Middle East economies. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Alan Wilson is a director in Oxford Economics' consultancy division, having joined OEF in 1996, prior to which he was an economic adviser in the Treasury. He leads a range of consultancy projects for commercial companies and government departments. He also oversees Oxford Economics' regional forecasts, and takes an active role in Oxford's macroeconomic forecasting. Recent major projects Alan has been involved with include studies of the impact of aviation on the UK and global economies; producing simulated Tourism Satellite Accounts showing the importance of tourism to 175 economies around the world on behalf of the World Travel & Tourism Council; modelling the interactions between economic activity, migration and housing in Manchester and Salford; and looking at London’s place in the UK economy. Alan graduated from Cambridge University in economics in 1983, and later obtained an MSc with distinction from Birkbeck College, London. Before joining Oxford Economics he spent 12½ years in the Government Economic Service working for a number of departments on a wide range of economic issues. These included 3 years at the Office of Fair Trading advising on competition policy issues, a similar period at the Treasury working on tax policy issues; 2 years at the Treasury forecasting inflation; and finally a year co-ordinating the Treasury's macroeconomic forecasts. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Honwae is an economist in the consultancy division of Oxford Economics, working on projects for public and private sector clients. Prior to joining Oxford Economics he spent 4 years at Experian in the economic modelling team, where his work included economic impact modelling, producing UK sub-regional forecasts and bespoke forecasting. He also worked for one year at the Department for Transport in the team responsible for the department’s transport model. Honwae has an undergraduate degree in Economics from Royal Holloway, University of London and an MSC in Economics from the University of Warwick. ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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| Paolo rejoined Oxford economics in April 2009, as Senior Economist, having worked for it in 2001. He is in charge of the forecasts for the Eurozone, Italy and Spain and is involved in several consulting projects, focusing especially on capital flows, long term growth projections and models for stress tests. Paolo has also worked in Italy (Rome and Bologna) and France (Paris) in the fields of macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis, applied econometrics and insurance economics. He has published on academic journals articles about international macroeconomics and insurance economics. He is fluent in Italian, English, French and Spanish and has a good knowledge of Portuguese. Paolo graduated with first class honours in Political Science at the University of Bologna and has an M.Sc in Economics from Universitat Pompeu Fabra, (Barcelona). ........................................................................................................ | |||||||||||
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